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The Market Right Now - Risk On/Off

It’s quite clear the market is having trouble busting through 7K on the Spooz. The question between now and Friday at 4PM is how much will the market “be allowed” to engage in price discovery?

Let’s take a look at a live position and use it to view how I am looking at the market right now.

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Right now for protection I have a handful of Puts open (discussed previously) and one net Short. The Weekly Chart below for TBCH shows where I entered this Short.

TBCH Weekly

This hedge is performing as desired so far. The question is if the market “will be allowed” to test and potentially pierce the 6790ish level on the S&P and ultimately 200 EMA Daily? If so - this Short could very well continue to deliver. If more miraculous jawbones or other attempts to keep this thing floating appear, you all should know how quickly things can turn.

Do I personally want the market to fall? No. It’s about managing risk. This position is helping to provide some protection. Will they allow the 200 EMA Daily to come into play?

Time will tell. I have absolutely no idea what will happen in terms of minute by minute or hour by hour. I have emphasized that I am ready for VOL in both directions.

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