In partnership with
This Is Not Investment Advice
The Market Right Now - Hedging
As I’ve stated multiple times now . . . . I am open minded to the market accepting more risk and rewarding more risk. We did have a very solid Day 1 of the rally attempt and a legitimate Follow Through Day.
But - both breadth and the earnings-gasm currently underway are very narrow with Higher Time Frame Money Flow and Momentum lagging a bit. Nobody wants Puts. Nobody wants any protection. Added some hedges.
The Defense Sector's Biggest Shift in Decades Is Underway
The defense industry is reallocating billions toward a new generation of technology: AI-integrated systems, space-based infrastructure, and advanced aerospace platforms. The companies building these capabilities are landing significant government contracts, and most investors haven't looked at them closely yet. Our research report identifies five stocks positioned at the center of this spending shift. We cover the contracts already in place, the pipeline of future awards, and the investment case for each company. This isn't a roundup of legacy defense primes. It's a look at where the sector's growth is actually going and which firms are best positioned to capture it.
Short MDLZ
Short DEO
DEO
DEO Weekly
MDLZ
MDLZ Weekly
Thoughts and observations:
For me personally . . . . as stated previously . . . . . . hedges aren’t big chunks of my total action here . . . . and the entry is critical . . . . . intent is preparation for potential overall market outcomes . . . . seeking plays that are vulnerable and unlikely to rise strongly from here if I my play is wrong . . . . . and likely to fall or even fall hard if the overall market weakens, pulls back, consolidates, or worse . . . . entry should feel a bit uncomfortable at least . . . .
Nobody wants puts . . . . Call Volumes on the Mags are absurd . . . . Call SKEW shot through the roof again and we have already seen some hints of Spot Up VOL Up . . . . .
Food - Confectionary dropped from 76 to 139 last six weeks . . . . MDLZ long pattern not being able to get above and stay above 10 EMA Weekly . . . . . Up/Down Volume and Money Flow got a boost with cocoa price drop rally early in the year . . . . . pros aren’t buying it Accumulation/Distribution Rating D- . . . . .
Beverages - Alcoholic got a little bump (SAM on a run) but still in secular downtrend in my view . . . . . . DEO got a little bump up into the 10 EMA Weekly . . . . . . Up/Down Volume and Accumulation/Distribution still very weak for DEO . . . .
Market soars FROM RIGHT HERE maybe I get dinged here totally possible . . . . market takes a breather or worse and these could struggle . . . .
75% of stocks follow the overall market trend . . . .
