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- Spike Oil, Flatten Curve, Dampen Risk On . . . . . . . . . An Attempt to Impede Bessent's Option B
Spike Oil, Flatten Curve, Dampen Risk On . . . . . . . . . An Attempt to Impede Bessent's Option B
What's the most effective way to try and derail Option B, the 'Melt Up' . . . . . . . . . . . spike the lubes and grease
David Young
June 23, 2025
This Is Not Investment Advice
A Look Through the Lens of the Opponent
Bessent has been crystal clear in public. Option B and the ‘Melt Up’ are a go. It’s an official operation like the one we all just saw in Iran.
Those that wish to derail America’s recovery obviously know this as well at this point. So what is the one thing that can be relatively effective at messing with Option B? Oil trading up above $200 in a major Geo-Poly mess would certainly do it. But, a spike in oil on a smaller scale would potentially cause some issues as well in the short and intermediate term.
Even POTUS put it out in terms of helping the “enemy”.
spike oil, flatten the curve
send LEIs down, make the market question the economic recovery
put a wet blanket over Bitcoin and Risk On
slowing BTC also slows the infrastructure build out for AI and Bitcoin (remember, we are in effect at war over AI so a Bitcoin bull helps push the private market to help in this war)
Another crazy idea from me? Let’s check the 10YR:
Here’s that flattened curve putting a wet blanket over Bitcoin and Risk On:
Not saying this is the ONLY thing in the world right now. But - this makes a ton of sense to me as a shift underway and certainly impacting the types of participants that trade in/out of BTC from a Macro standpoint (i.e. players with big bankrolls).
Yield curve looks more like it is discounting stagflation than it is Option B to me.
Mining Update
goodbye TiNA for now, small profit booked
holding long USD as hedge/trade, some remainder short Nikkei as hedge
Straddle in play, if $97K comes will do the exact same thing using that pivot but larger play
